
Can he total 1,600 yards like A.P. his rookie year?
This summer the hot draft pick will be Trent Richardson. With the Browns drafting him number 3 overall, you know he will be the focal point of the Browns offense. The hype on Richardson before the NFL Draft was “the best RB drafted since Adrian Peterson.” Jamey Eisenberg of CBS Sports points out the recent history of rookie running backs and the history isn’t that great. – The last two NFL drafts — Mark Ingram (2011) and Spiller (2010) — were horrible as rookies. Knowshon Moreno (2009) wasn’t bad with more than 1,150 total yards and nine touchdowns, but he wasn’t a weekly starter in the majority of leagues. Darren McFadden (2008) — shocker — was bothered with injuries, but Adrian Peterson (2007) was a star. He had more than 1,600 total yards and 13 touchdowns in his first year.






Every year, I watch and evaluate more than 250 college players on film. The objective is straightforward: Project and transition them to the NFL. While the goal is clear-cut, the devil is in the details. I like to think (many might see me as delusional) I have a fairly well-honed sense of evaluation and projection based on my extensive film study of the NFL game during each season. Unfortunately, it’s never that simple and uncomplicated.
